26 July 2021
The strategic vote in the primaries
All day Sunday, the inevitable comparison made about the primary elections will be how many people participated. Afterwards, it is likely that this indicator will be used as a predictor of each winning candidate’s chances in the first round of the presidential election. However, there is a non-trivial distorting effect in play: neither Yasna Provoste, whose poll numbers are respectable, nor Paula Narváez, for whom the same is not true, are in competition. By Camilo Feres (*)